He actually has less confirmed cheaters than my analysis which is at around 6% over the past 6 months. I see constant comments like "cheating is way less than you think". This is what I keep trying to say on this subreddit. If you go in with a full team that you can trust not to cheat, the chances are a bit better to have no cheater. Still very unlikely, very close to impossible.Įdit 2: As mentioned below, I should clarify that this assumes solo queueing. (Only this time we can actually make it.) The second mistake is that it's not 6 -10 but rather 6 -6. The numbers are not drastically different (~40% for no cheater in three games) and we reach the same conclusion. Put it a bit differently and assume that you are queueing and you are not a cheater, then the calculation goes a bit different. So if you have a metre full of atoms (with no distance between them) and you have a machine and you say you're gonna hit a certain atom on that row, you're about as likely to hit that as you are to not have a cheater in 50 games.Įdit: I made two mistakes: I modelled it as an experiment from the servers perspective, not the player. To put that into perspective, that's about as large as the radius of an average atom compared to a metre. That probability is so low it might as well be 0. To add to that, OP said people on this sub said they have not met a cheater in 50 games. If you play three games in a row, you are already more likely to meet a cheater than you are not! That's a powerful conclusion: This means that If you want to have two games in a row with no cheater that probability goes down to 51.32%. If you pool 10 people randomly together, that means that chance to not have even a single (confirmed) cheater in those 10 people is 96.72% 10 = 71.64%. If you say roughly 3.28% of players are (confirmed) cheaters, that means 96.72% are not (confirmed) cheaters. Just to add a bit of beermat mathematics. There are very probably going to be more. It's important to note that when you say "Approximately every 4.5 Games in MM there is one hacker!", what you mean is there is a confirmed hacker.
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